Breaking news, hence the stock market has surged.
Why is there bad news again, the stock is going to fall.
The inner world of retail investors fluctuates with the rise and fall of stock prices every day, as if the whole world is full of good and bad news, and everything is uncertain.
When the market rises, the first thing to do is to look for reasons for the rise.
When the market falls, it turns around to check everywhere, why it falls.
You always see what you want to see, this is the logic of the traffic era, and it is also the reason why the market is blindfolded.
Compared with the past, people used to watch analysts on TV to comment on the stock market, but now it is more terrifying to watch various financial news on the internet.
Because, after all, analysts are still professionally trained and have professional experience, which is not too far off.
Now on the internet, a person who has no market experience at all can comment.
Such a market is destined to be full of surprises, because the environment is really too bad, and everything is unexpected for retail investors.In the eyes of well-organized large capital, everything is just a script, a game.
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Because the information they have mastered can make a certain degree of prediction.
From macroeconomics to Sino-American relations, from policy expectations to market trend analysis.
To put it bluntly, retail investors are playing chess by watching others' moves, while the main force is laying out the entire chessboard.
Under this kind of game, retail investors are doomed to be the losers, with no chance of winning.
So why, under this situation, a small number of winners still emerged among the retail investors?
That is, what kind of method did the winners find to make money.
Many people attribute this to cognition, which is right and wrong.
Because cognition is very abstract, what the winners see through is the law of the market, the law of human nature.
The essence of the winner is to follow the rules of the market, and find the way to make money within the rules.What about the losers? They are drowned in the ocean of information, facing the unknown every day.
Let's talk about something practical.
At the bottom of this market, there are four things, which are also the core essence of the market.
Funds, logic, technology, and emotions.
Unless you are an investment genius, you can make money by mastering one of them.
Most investors can only understand the market and find the way to make money by combining these four core elements.
1. Funds.
Funds are the essence of the market's rise and fall, without funds the market is like a stagnant pool.
No matter how good the fundamentals are, or how good the theme is, if the funds don't move, the market will not move.Individual investors who want to make money must understand the thoughts of capital, or rather, the patterns of capital operation.
However, the problem lies in the fact that capital and individual investors are on opposite sides.
Those who control large amounts of capital are not individual investors, but the main forces that want to reap individual investors. Their way of operation is to try to conceal their actions and not let individual investors detect their movements.
At least more than 80% of the capital can deceive the vision of individual investors.
When individual investors find that capital has entered with great fanfare, the bottom positions have long been plundered by capital.
Remember one sentence: capital always lets you see what it wants you to see.
You think that you can capture capital through some technical software, but in fact, they use more advanced software and have already disguised themselves.
The rules of capital will eventually be written in technical K-line and trading volume.
Of course, capital itself is definitely related to the macro fundamentals, because large capital needs to be guided, and the attitude of policies towards capital is also one of the important factors that determine the abundance of capital in this market.
2. Logic.The rise and fall of the stock market cannot be separated from logic.
For retail investors, logic can be understood as a story.
Why does a stock rise? Because of capital. Why does capital buy? In fact, it is to make money.
But capital needs to find someone to take over the position, so it must tell a story, otherwise, how can it attract follow-up capital when the price goes up?
The matter of logic can be big or small.
The rise of a single stock can be a small story, the rise of a sector requires a big story, and if a bull market is coming, it needs a huge story.
These stories are professionally called logic, to explain to everyone why it should rise.
From the macro fundamentals, diplomatic relations, political factors, and economic development direction, to the future development of a listed company, a technological breakthrough in an industry, all can be called logic.
Logic is something that makes the results clear, but it can also be used to deduce future trends and changes through logic.
3. Technology.In the stock market, technical analysis is definitely useful and very important.
However, many people do not understand the essence of technical analysis.
Technical analysis itself is a reflection of the relationship between volume and price, solidified into a more intuitive dimension.
That is to say, the patterns of capital operation have all been transformed into technical charts for us to interpret.
We can use the volume and price themselves, that is, technical analysis, to assist in judging the patterns of capital operation and where we are at the moment.
Therefore, technical analysis is a result, not a process.
Technical analysis itself evolves according to the rules and patterns of the market into a quantifiable indicator that can be clearly foreseen to assist investors in judging the future direction.
4. Emotion.
Emotion, in fact, is human nature.
This is the easiest way for retail investors to make money, but it is also the most difficult thing for most retail investors to achieve.When you control your emotions and maintain a good investment mentality, you can basically defeat 60-70% of other retail investors.
Emotional management is an art, but making money by utilizing emotions is a skill.
Many people say that when investing in stocks, one should buy leaders and "demon stocks," but they don't realize that these big bull stocks are actually a product of emotions.
It is said that stock trading relies on cognition, and emotions are also a part of cognitive management, helping investors to achieve the unity of knowledge and action.
Managing one's own emotions is the first step, and using the emotions of retail investors to see through the market and make money is the second step.
These four essences are not easy for ordinary investors, and all require long-term experience accumulation.
The reason why investing is so difficult is that your opponents are much stronger than you think.
So many professionals who make a living from this field can't make money, let alone ordinary retail investors with insufficient market cognition?
Where in this world is there absolute fairness and equality? It is always the strong bullying the weak.The capital market merely amplifies this characteristic a bit more.
Large capital volumes, first-hand information sources, professional team market analysis and judgment, from macro to micro, these are all not available to ordinary retail investors.
What you see as an accident is just a matter of course for others.
Even if everyone gets the news at the same time, their reaction speed is also incomparable to ordinary retail investors.
Therefore, the winners among retail investors are destined not to make money by playing against large capital.
They must establish their own system and make money through rules, which is the only way to trade stocks.
The market is very difficult to deceive a retail investor who acts according to rules.
What retail investors need to do is to optimize their own standards as much as possible and establish a more perfect rules system.
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